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Phil Hawkins's avatar

They may (at least some of them) start listening. But I suspect it may take a while. After Jimmy Carter, Republicans held the president's office for 12 years. But it's possible they are in an even bigger hole. After Lincoln was elected, and the Civil War began, the Democrats did not elect a president until 1884--24 years without a Dem president. And Grover Cleveland, who was elected then, was a fiscal conservative, who cut spending while in office! (Totally unlike our modern Dems!)

I do think we are in the middle of a period of major change. We seem to have one about every 80 years, and it takes about 20 years or so to work through. We may be about halfway through this one. Yes, I have read Strauss and Howe's book, "The Fourth Turning." I do not necessarily agree with all of their details, but the concept of major change every 80 years seems valid. Another writer who sees that cycle is George Friedman, formerly of Stratfor, wrote a book a few years ago, "The Storm Before the Calm." He used the 80-year political cycle, but added a 50-60 year economic cycle--and noted that for the first time, both cycles are landing in the same decade!

One thing in the current situation that I find interesting: while the Dems are still lined up behind leaders in their 70s and 80s--Biden, Pelosi, Schumer, the Clintons, and more--Trump is bringing in a bunch of younger people in their 40s--Vance, Hegseth, Gabbard, Musk, Ramaswamy, and more. The Dems may well get smacked by the Wave of the Future. I'm 74 myself--no youngster--but I do think this is going to be significant. And older Republicans, like Cornyn, had better be careful.

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Tom Wigand's avatar

I don't know enough about the ins-and-outs of campaign finance laws, but I know enough to ask a rhetorical question about how these Oprah / Beyonce etc. payments may have actually been intended to game the campaign finance system? Donation limits, reporting requirements, and so on.

And/or, to establish slush funds and folks from Kamala and crew will later be "hired" by some of these entities, thereby being paid from campaign funds indirectly and after-the-fact?

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